Business Monitor International’s Venezuela Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Commercial Banking industry in Venezuela.
The Report has just been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering production, sales, imports and exports; 5-year industry forecasts through end-; company ranking and competitive landscapes for multinational and local manufacturers and suppliers; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes.
Key Benefits of Report
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Rely On Our Independent 5-Year Forecasts As A Benchmark
to test other views – a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning.
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Target Business Opportunities & Risks
through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
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Exploit Latest Competitive Intelligence & Company SWOTS
on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Venezuela Commercial Banking Report includes:
Executive Summary & Swot Analysis
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and trend analysis, and commentary on key company and industry headline events. Collection of SWOT studies on local commercial banking market, economy and business environment.
Regional Overview
Cross-border analysis on the structure, size and value of the commercial banking sector, including comparative historical data and forecasts on the region’s assets, loans and deposits, as well as bond portfolios.
Market Overview
Outlook of local market, commenting on its structure, size and value.
BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Annual average growth forecasts for assets, loans and deposits.
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape
Comparative company analyses and rankings by production, sales, % market share, employees, registration date and ownership structure.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities & Threats)analyses, fully researched senior executives and full contact details, business activity, leading products and services.
Executive Summary
The announcement on January 16 by President Hugo Chávez that the government may tap US$12bn of international reserves (the total stock of which currently stands at US$42.0bn) to finance social spending supports our view that the country’s inflation rate is heading higher in 2009. We previously argued (see ‘Inflation Reprieve Will Be Short-Lived’, November 10) that despite the deflationary collapse in domestic demand, Venezuela’s inflation rate would continue its upward trend, and cited, among other factors, the threat of Chávez using international reserves to boost demand as a reason for our out-of-consensus call. These developments add weight to our view that inflation will rise from 31.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) recorded in December 2008 to 40.0% by the end of 2009.
This report is being written at a time when the global financial crisis, which arose as a result of the evaporation of inter-bank liquidity, has moved into a new phase. Stock market participants appear, reasonably, to have taken the view that the policy responses taken by governments, central banks and multi-lateral institutions will be sufficient to prevent a total collapse of the global financial system. Instead, stock market participants are focusing on the impact of a near-global recession on the earnings of non-financial companies.
The number and size of stand-by facilities agreed by the IMF since early October supports our view that, of the emerging markets whose commercial banking sectors are surveyed by BMI, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe are those whose economies are most at risk of suffering adverse affects as a result of the global financial crisis. This is partly because the macroeconomic imbalances are relatively severe and partly because the Central and Eastern European countries are more directly affected by the brutal recession that is unfolding in wealthier member states of the EU.
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